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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8697406012014016085119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.4
42.242.6
Auto15.6
Teleop22.9
End4.6
Level
43.11.9
38.139.9
Auto14.3
Teleop23.4
End5.4
Second
8612
#30
23.70.4
21.722.1
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End2.8
blue by 10.3
818
#1
34.01.9
27.529.3
Auto10.6
Teleop20.9
End2.4
Third
6538
#28
17.00.4
15.115.5
Auto9.5
Teleop6.4
End1.1
blue by 2.6
4422
#27
19.51.9
20.622.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned