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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116775010015072104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.22.1
34.932.8
Auto13.3
Teleop17.6
End1.3
red by 1.1
1076
#18
31.11.3
28.629.9
Auto8.2
Teleop21.3
End1.5
Second
5907
#17
26.92.1
36.234.1
Auto10.7
Teleop13.7
End2.6
blue by 3.7
30.61.3
23.124.4
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.3
Third
1023
#14
25.32.1
29.026.9
Auto9.1
Teleop12.1
End4.1
blue by 1.8
3414
#13
27.01.3
22.623.9
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned