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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736002040801001206164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#22
27.70.2
26.726.4
Auto7.7
Teleop17.8
End2.3
red by 7.2
6078
#24
20.60.5
15.315.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.6
Second
2771
#15
21.00.2
19.619.4
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End1.8
red by 0.7
5577
#29
20.40.5
19.720.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Third
6120
#37
20.60.2
18.318.1
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End1.9
red by 2.1
9558
#25
18.50.5
20.921.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed