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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688040601001205579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#23
25.60.5
26.425.9
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
blue by 8.4
818
#1
34.00.5
29.329.9
Auto10.6
Teleop20.9
End2.4
Second
8612
#30
23.70.5
22.121.5
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End2.8
blue by 5.0
7226
#19
28.70.5
26.326.8
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End2.8
Third
9618
#39
13.50.5
14.514.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 3.4
6538
#28
17.00.5
15.516.0
Auto9.5
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed