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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65125501001502005691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#13
27.01.0
23.922.9
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End2.0
blue by 16.1
43.11.0
39.938.9
Auto14.3
Teleop23.4
End5.4
Second
6615
#35
26.81.0
21.920.9
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End1.6
blue by 12.9
39.71.0
36.435.4
Auto12.2
Teleop22.0
End5.5
Third
5577
#29
20.41.0
20.319.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.0
End2.0
blue by 7.4
7056
#16
27.71.0
29.928.9
Auto11.3
Teleop14.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed66%Ensemble oddsEarned