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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10854015011978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.01.9
35.137.0
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End4.5
red by 6.1
3641
#11
30.91.5
28.830.3
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End3.1
Second
1250
#10
32.61.9
31.733.6
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End3.5
red by 12.0
6078
#24
20.61.5
15.917.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.6
Third
30.61.9
24.426.3
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.3
red by 20.0
4453
#31
10.61.5
10.712.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned