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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76952040601201406579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.4
32.832.4
Auto13.3
Teleop17.6
End1.3
blue by 0.8
2959
#12
33.00.3
30.029.7
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End2.5
Second
4422
#27
19.50.4
22.522.1
Auto7.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
blue by 7.3
5907
#17
26.90.3
34.133.8
Auto10.7
Teleop13.7
End2.6
Third
8280
#40
14.40.4
15.615.2
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End2.0
blue by 6.6
2771
#15
21.00.3
19.419.1
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed