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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1076602040801201401608839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.3
43.242.9
Auto15.6
Teleop22.9
End4.6
red by 16.2
5907
#17
26.91.7
33.832.1
Auto10.7
Teleop13.7
End2.6
Second
818
#1
34.00.3
29.929.6
Auto10.6
Teleop20.9
End2.4
red by 13.3
6120
#37
20.61.7
18.116.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End1.9
Third
2771
#15
21.00.3
19.118.8
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End1.8
red by 6.7
2224
#38
14.41.7
12.610.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsMissed