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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798540601001206377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7226
#19
28.70.6
26.826.2
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End2.8
blue by 7.1
33
#6
35.80.6
33.032.3
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End3.0
Second
1023
#14
25.30.6
28.427.7
Auto9.1
Teleop12.1
End4.1
red by 5.7
4422
#27
19.50.6
22.121.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
Third
6078
#24
20.60.6
17.416.7
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.6
red by 2.0
9558
#25
18.50.6
21.420.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed