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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929640608012014016067116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.1
38.937.8
Auto14.3
Teleop23.4
End5.4
red by 3.4
39.71.6
35.437.1
Auto12.2
Teleop22.0
End5.5
Second
857
#32
26.91.1
28.927.8
Auto9.3
Teleop14.9
End2.6
blue by 4.1
3641
#11
30.91.6
30.331.9
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End3.1
Third
6538
#28
17.01.1
16.014.9
Auto9.5
Teleop6.4
End1.1
blue by 4.4
3618
#33
21.41.6
20.622.3
Auto9.0
Teleop9.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed56%Ensemble oddsEarned