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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8386607080901001108563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.5
32.432.9
Auto13.3
Teleop17.6
End1.3
blue by 0.4
1250
#10
32.61.2
33.632.3
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End3.5
Second
1076
#18
31.10.5
29.530.0
Auto8.2
Teleop21.3
End1.5
red by 0.7
4998
#20
30.31.2
27.726.5
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End2.5
Third
8424
#34
12.50.5
15.015.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End0.6
blue by 1.9
8280
#40
14.41.2
15.213.9
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed