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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8672204060801001201408978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#22
27.70.6
27.127.7
Auto7.7
Teleop17.8
End2.3
red by 0.9
6615
#35
26.80.8
20.921.7
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End1.6
Second
3414
#13
27.00.6
22.923.5
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End2.0
red by 1.4
244
#26
25.70.8
24.124.9
Auto6.5
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Third
2337
#23
25.60.6
25.926.5
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
red by 1.9
8612
#30
23.70.8
21.522.3
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed