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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109692040608010012014016018010483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.7
37.838.5
Auto14.3
Teleop23.4
End5.4
red by 14.4
7226
#19
28.71.0
26.227.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End2.8
Second
32.90.7
31.031.7
Auto12.8
Teleop15.2
End4.8
red by 9.2
8612
#30
23.71.0
22.323.3
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End2.8
Third
244
#26
25.70.7
24.925.6
Auto6.5
Teleop16.5
End2.6
red by 4.6
2771
#15
21.01.0
18.819.8
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed