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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9778020406012014016088112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#12
33.00.2
29.929.7
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End2.5
blue by 1.0
818
#1
34.02.5
29.632.1
Auto10.6
Teleop20.9
End2.4
Second
1250
#10
32.60.2
32.332.1
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End3.5
red by 2.0
30.62.5
26.729.2
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.3
Third
3414
#13
27.00.2
23.523.3
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End2.0
red by 6.4
6120
#37
20.62.5
16.418.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned31%Ensemble oddsEarned