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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71102204060801201401605692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#22
27.70.8
27.726.9
Auto7.7
Teleop17.8
End2.3
blue by 4.4
32.20.1
32.932.8
Auto13.3
Teleop17.6
End1.3
Second
4422
#27
19.50.8
21.520.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
blue by 10.8
4998
#20
30.30.1
26.526.4
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End2.5
Third
6152
#36
17.90.8
19.118.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
blue by 9.9
7056
#16
27.70.1
29.329.2
Auto11.3
Teleop14.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed