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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661052040801201401601805679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#23
25.60.9
26.525.6
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
blue by 11.4
37.01.1
37.236.1
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End4.5
Second
3618
#33
21.40.9
22.321.4
Auto9.0
Teleop9.5
End2.9
blue by 5.5
5907
#17
26.91.1
32.131.0
Auto10.7
Teleop13.7
End2.6
Third
8424
#34
12.50.9
15.614.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End0.6
blue by 6.0
9558
#25
18.51.1
20.819.7
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed52%Ensemble oddsEarned