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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10659020408012014016012560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.12.3
38.540.8
Auto14.3
Teleop23.4
End5.4
red by 16.2
857
#32
26.90.1
28.028.1
Auto9.3
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Second
1076
#18
31.12.3
30.032.3
Auto8.2
Teleop21.3
End1.5
red by 10.5
6078
#24
20.60.1
16.716.8
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.6
Third
6615
#35
26.82.3
21.724.0
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End1.6
red by 12.4
8280
#40
14.40.1
13.914.0
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned37%Ensemble oddsMissed