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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1266705010015011378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.4
42.843.2
Auto15.6
Teleop22.9
End4.6
red by 10.5
1250
#10
32.60.7
32.132.8
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End3.5
Second
33
#6
35.80.4
32.332.7
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End3.0
red by 12.1
8612
#30
23.70.7
23.324.0
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End2.8
Third
3641
#11
30.90.4
32.232.5
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End3.1
red by 20.3
4453
#31
10.60.7
12.413.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed