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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741042040601201401601806490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#14
25.30.4
27.727.3
Auto9.1
Teleop12.1
End4.1
blue by 8.7
818
#1
34.00.4
32.131.7
Auto10.6
Teleop20.9
End2.4
Second
815
#21
24.50.4
22.822.4
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End2.5
blue by 7.6
32.20.4
32.832.4
Auto13.3
Teleop17.6
End1.3
Third
5577
#29
20.40.4
19.719.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.0
End2.0
blue by 5.3
244
#26
25.70.4
25.625.2
Auto6.5
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed