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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85752040601001201409368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.8
31.732.5
Auto12.8
Teleop15.2
End4.8
red by 5.9
3414
#13
27.00.4
23.322.9
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End2.0
Second
7056
#16
27.70.8
29.230.0
Auto11.3
Teleop14.6
End1.8
red by 0.8
5907
#17
26.90.4
31.030.6
Auto10.7
Teleop13.7
End2.6
Third
6538
#28
17.00.8
14.915.7
Auto9.5
Teleop6.4
End1.1
red by 4.4
8424
#34
12.50.4
14.714.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsMissed