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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816020401001201408954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.2
29.230.4
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.3
red by 3.8
6615
#35
26.80.5
24.023.5
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End1.6
Second
7226
#19
28.71.2
27.328.5
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End2.8
red by 10.8
6152
#36
17.90.5
18.217.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Third
8280
#40
14.41.2
14.015.3
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End2.0
red by 0.9
9618
#39
13.50.5
14.614.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed