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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807540601001201409779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.01.7
36.137.8
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End4.5
red by 6.7
4998
#20
30.30.6
26.426.9
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End2.5
Second
6120
#37
20.61.7
18.920.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End1.9
blue by 0.7
3618
#33
21.40.6
21.422.0
Auto9.0
Teleop9.5
End2.9
Third
6078
#24
20.61.7
16.818.5
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.6
red by 1.0
4422
#27
19.50.6
20.721.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed