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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100906080120140101103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#12
33.00.8
29.730.5
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End2.5
blue by 6.8
39.71.0
37.138.1
Auto12.2
Teleop22.0
End5.5
Second
1076
#18
31.10.8
32.333.1
Auto8.2
Teleop21.3
End1.5
red by 5.4
2337
#23
25.61.0
25.626.6
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Third
3534
#22
27.70.8
26.927.7
Auto7.7
Teleop17.8
End2.3
red by 6.7
2771
#15
21.01.0
19.820.9
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned