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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73642040801001207184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.4
32.532.9
Auto12.8
Teleop15.2
End4.8
red by 0.7
32.21.6
32.434.1
Auto13.3
Teleop17.6
End1.3
Second
9558
#25
18.50.4
19.720.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End2.3
red by 1.6
6538
#28
17.01.6
15.717.4
Auto9.5
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Third
4453
#31
10.60.4
13.113.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.7
blue by 3.8
2224
#38
14.41.6
11.112.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed