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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95976070809011012013010159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.0
43.443.4
Auto15.6
Teleop22.9
End4.6
red by 12.1
1076
#18
31.11.9
32.630.7
Auto8.2
Teleop21.3
End1.5
Second
244
#26
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto6.5
Teleop16.5
End2.6
blue by 5.3
3641
#11
30.91.9
33.932.0
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End3.1
Third
6152
#36
17.90.0
17.017.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
blue by 1.7
4422
#27
19.51.9
21.019.1
Auto7.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed