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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7498204060801201402679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#17
26.92.9
29.126.2
Auto10.7
Teleop13.7
End2.6
blue by 5.3
32.20.8
33.833.0
Auto13.3
Teleop17.6
End1.3
Second
857
#32
26.92.9
27.524.5
Auto9.3
Teleop14.9
End2.6
blue by 0.9
3534
#22
27.70.8
27.026.2
Auto7.7
Teleop17.8
End2.3
Third
4453
#31
10.62.9
13.210.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.7
blue by 13.9
815
#21
24.50.8
24.924.1
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed