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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70842040601001201409174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4998
#20
30.31.7
26.928.7
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End2.5
red by 1.6
7226
#19
28.70.0
28.528.5
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End2.8
Second
3414
#13
27.01.7
25.026.8
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End2.0
red by 1.4
2337
#23
25.60.0
26.026.0
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Third
2224
#38
14.41.7
13.114.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
blue by 6.0
5577
#29
20.40.0
19.719.7
Auto7.4
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed