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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11697608014016012395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.2
39.941.1
Auto12.2
Teleop22.0
End5.5
red by 2.7
37.00.2
35.435.6
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End4.5
Second
818
#1
34.01.2
31.232.4
Auto10.6
Teleop20.9
End2.4
red by 1.1
32.90.2
33.233.5
Auto12.8
Teleop15.2
End4.8
Third
2959
#12
33.01.2
31.833.0
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End2.5
red by 11.6
3618
#33
21.40.2
21.121.4
Auto9.0
Teleop9.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsEarned69%Ensemble oddsMissed