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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84722040601001201401606665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1076
#18
31.10.6
33.132.6
Auto8.2
Teleop21.3
End1.5
red by 5.8
1023
#14
25.30.1
28.128.0
Auto9.1
Teleop12.1
End4.1
Second
2771
#15
21.00.6
20.920.3
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End1.8
blue by 2.6
8612
#30
23.70.1
24.424.3
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End2.8
Third
9558
#25
18.50.6
20.519.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End2.3
red by 6.0
8424
#34
12.50.1
14.214.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed