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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80816070901001107774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#17
26.90.2
29.329.1
Auto10.7
Teleop13.7
End2.6
blue by 3.7
30.60.1
30.430.3
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.3
Second
6615
#35
26.80.2
23.823.7
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End1.6
blue by 0.1
857
#32
26.90.1
27.627.5
Auto9.3
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Third
4422
#27
19.50.2
21.221.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
red by 6.0
9618
#39
13.50.1
12.712.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed