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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681122040608010012014016079115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#6
35.80.7
32.533.1
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End3.0
blue by 4.0
39.70.9
39.240.2
Auto12.2
Teleop22.0
End5.5
Second
6120
#37
20.60.7
19.820.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End1.9
blue by 12.3
32.90.9
32.933.8
Auto12.8
Teleop15.2
End4.8
Third
8280
#40
14.40.7
14.615.3
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End2.0
blue by 12.4
6615
#35
26.80.9
23.724.6
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsEarned