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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626245505565707580855378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7226
#19
28.70.2
28.528.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End2.8
red by 7.6
2771
#15
21.01.4
20.321.7
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End1.8
Second
2224
#38
14.40.2
14.914.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
blue by 6.2
6078
#24
20.61.4
19.420.8
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.6
Third
9618
#39
13.50.2
12.612.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 3.4
6538
#28
17.01.4
16.718.1
Auto9.5
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned