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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79760501001507872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7226
#19
28.70.4
28.328.7
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End2.8
blue by 2.4
1076
#18
31.10.2
30.730.9
Auto8.2
Teleop21.3
End1.5
Second
815
#21
24.50.4
24.124.5
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End2.5
red by 3.9
6120
#37
20.60.2
20.420.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End1.9
Third
4422
#27
19.50.4
19.119.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
red by 2.6
6538
#28
17.00.2
18.118.3
Auto9.5
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed