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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1174402060801001401609344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.3
40.239.9
Auto12.2
Teleop22.0
End5.5
red by 19.2
6078
#24
20.60.3
20.820.6
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.6
Second
32.20.3
33.032.7
Auto13.3
Teleop17.6
End1.3
red by 17.8
2224
#38
14.40.3
14.714.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Third
8612
#30
23.70.3
23.923.7
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End2.8
red by 11.1
8424
#34
12.50.3
12.812.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsEarned