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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038940608012014016011367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#1
34.00.6
31.831.2
Auto10.6
Teleop20.9
End2.4
red by 3.0
3641
#11
30.91.0
32.031.0
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End3.1
Second
32.90.6
33.833.2
Auto12.8
Teleop15.2
End4.8
red by 2.3
30.61.0
30.929.8
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.3
Third
2337
#23
25.60.6
26.025.4
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
red by 7.1
9558
#25
18.51.0
19.518.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned47%Ensemble oddsMissed