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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637002040801001205955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#13
27.00.1
26.826.8
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End2.0
red by 1.4
244
#26
25.70.8
25.724.9
Auto6.5
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Second
3618
#33
21.40.1
21.121.1
Auto9.0
Teleop9.5
End2.9
red by 0.3
2771
#15
21.00.8
21.720.9
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End1.8
Third
4453
#31
10.60.1
10.310.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.7
blue by 3.8
8280
#40
14.40.8
15.314.4
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed