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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57115010015055108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#21
24.50.6
24.123.5
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End2.5
blue by 18.6
43.10.3
41.841.5
Auto15.6
Teleop22.9
End4.6
Second
9558
#25
18.50.6
19.819.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End2.3
blue by 9.2
7056
#16
27.70.3
31.731.4
Auto11.3
Teleop14.6
End1.8
Third
8280
#40
14.40.6
14.814.3
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End2.0
blue by 12.6
3414
#13
27.00.3
23.623.4
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed