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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6810405015040116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#14
25.31.7
30.528.8
Auto9.1
Teleop12.1
End4.1
blue by 14.5
39.71.7
33.435.1
Auto12.2
Teleop22.0
End5.5
Second
6120
#37
20.61.7
21.019.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End1.9
blue by 16.4
37.01.7
32.434.1
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End4.5
Third
9618
#39
13.51.7
14.412.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 14.2
3534
#22
27.71.7
24.326.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned