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Red125
91031.8
365529.4
719733.1
Blue140
2743.5
5121.6
571244.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9912250150200125140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#15
33.10.6
32.533.1
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.0
blue by 11.1
44.20.4
43.744.2
Auto16.4
Teleop23.0
End4.8
Second
910
#9
31.80.6
31.131.8
Auto10.8
Teleop18.9
End2.1
blue by 11.8
27
#3
43.50.4
43.143.5
Auto12.6
Teleop26.8
End4.1
Third
3655
#18
29.40.6
28.729.4
Auto7.6
Teleop20.0
End1.8
red by 7.8
51
#33
21.60.4
21.121.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8