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Red81
91031.8
365529.4
719733.1
Blue125
2743.5
5121.6
571244.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10012105015020081125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#15
33.10.3
32.832.5
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.0
blue by 11.1
44.20.3
43.443.7
Auto16.4
Teleop23.0
End4.8
Second
910
#9
31.80.3
31.531.1
Auto10.8
Teleop18.9
End2.1
blue by 11.8
27
#3
43.50.3
42.843.1
Auto12.6
Teleop26.8
End4.1
Third
3655
#18
29.40.3
29.128.7
Auto7.6
Teleop20.0
End1.8
red by 7.8
51
#33
21.60.3
20.821.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8