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Red129
5121.6
571244.2
2743.5
Blue116
317534.2
515230.9
439143.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117119100105110115125130135129116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.2
43.243.4
Auto16.4
Teleop23.0
End4.8
red by 1.2
43.00.2
42.843.0
Auto17.7
Teleop21.9
End3.3
Second
27
#3
43.50.2
42.642.8
Auto12.6
Teleop26.8
End4.1
red by 9.3
3175
#21
34.20.2
34.034.2
Auto13.7
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Third
51
#33
21.60.2
20.620.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
blue by 9.3
5152
#25
30.90.2
30.730.9
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End2.1