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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7399204060801201401607397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#14
32.70.3
28.028.3
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End3.2
blue by 11.4
44.20.3
36.636.3
Auto16.4
Teleop23.0
End4.8
Second
5424
#31
23.90.3
21.221.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.2
blue by 1.1
5084
#35
25.00.3
29.529.2
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End2.8
Third
2960
#24
20.50.3
19.720.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End5.1
red by 2.9
5533
#40
17.60.3
20.119.8
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed