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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75756070809010064109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#22
26.20.6
24.924.3
Auto11.8
Teleop12.4
End2.0
blue by 8.7
245
#5
34.92.4
27.229.7
Auto11.4
Teleop20.9
End2.6
Second
4004
#32
24.90.6
25.324.7
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
blue by 3.1
548
#8
28.02.4
19.522.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Third
5901
#37
16.20.6
17.917.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
blue by 3.4
3602
#38
19.52.4
20.623.0
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed