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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7794501505395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5084
#35
25.01.6
29.227.7
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End2.8
blue by 18.5
27
#3
43.50.4
44.344.7
Auto12.6
Teleop26.8
End4.1
Second
8286
#23
23.91.6
22.621.0
Auto11.8
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 2.4
51
#33
21.60.4
21.822.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Third
2960
#24
20.51.6
20.018.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End5.1
red by 4.3
5901
#37
16.20.4
17.317.8
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned