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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758440601001201405389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#29
25.51.5
28.126.6
Auto11.7
Teleop11.9
End1.9
blue by 7.6
7197
#15
33.10.9
25.826.7
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.0
Second
5505
#26
20.41.5
26.525.0
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
blue by 9.4
29.90.9
23.624.5
Auto7.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Third
9743
#36
10.71.5
14.112.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 15.2
3707
#11
25.90.9
25.626.5
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed