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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions839720406012014016018091101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#19
31.70.8
33.033.8
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End2.0
blue by 2.5
3175
#21
34.20.7
35.736.4
Auto13.7
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Second
3655
#18
29.40.8
24.024.8
Auto7.6
Teleop20.0
End1.8
blue by 2.4
910
#9
31.80.7
26.026.7
Auto10.8
Teleop18.9
End2.1
Third
5533
#40
17.60.8
19.820.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.7
blue by 5.9
4405
#17
23.50.7
24.224.8
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed