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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95870200300400107102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.1
36.036.0
Auto17.7
Teleop21.9
End3.3
blue by 1.2
44.20.8
38.239.0
Auto16.4
Teleop23.0
End4.8
Second
4392
#13
25.80.1
24.824.9
Auto13.8
Teleop11.0
End1.0
blue by 2.2
548
#8
28.00.8
22.022.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Third
4004
#32
24.90.1
24.024.0
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
red by 7.2
5561
#27
17.70.8
19.620.5
Auto9.9
Teleop5.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsEarned