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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105710501508057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.51.4
34.733.3
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.2
red by 8.5
5084
#35
25.00.7
27.726.9
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End2.8
Second
3322
#14
32.71.4
30.328.8
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End3.2
red by 11.0
503
#30
21.70.7
18.918.2
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End3.1
Third
2851
#10
25.81.4
26.224.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
red by 6.3
3602
#38
19.50.7
21.720.9
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned30%Ensemble oddsMissed