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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60922040801001201401608694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#31
23.91.9
21.323.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.2
blue by 5.9
70
#4
29.81.0
28.129.1
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End5.4
Second
3452
#20
21.91.9
19.121.0
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End1.3
blue by 4.1
3707
#11
25.91.0
26.527.5
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Third
5901
#37
16.21.9
17.819.6
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
blue by 4.2
5505
#26
20.41.0
25.026.0
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsEarned