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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8184506070901001108288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#9
31.80.1
26.726.8
Auto10.8
Teleop18.9
End2.1
red by 0.1
85
#19
31.70.8
33.834.6
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End2.0
Second
4237
#29
25.50.1
26.626.6
Auto11.7
Teleop11.9
End1.9
red by 1.3
5612
#12
24.20.8
20.020.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
Third
5533
#40
17.60.1
20.620.7
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.7
blue by 4.0
51
#33
21.60.8
22.223.0
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsMissed